Hamilton's 'Odd' Struggles Raise Retirement Questions Amid Ferrari Setbacks
Lewis Hamilton's unexpected qualifying struggles, including consecutive Q1 exits in Qatar, are perplexing experts and raising questions about his future. Despite underlying race pace, a lack of confidence in the Ferrari SF-25's grip is hindering his one-lap performance. While some speculate about retirement, many believe Hamilton's competitive drive remains strong, especially with major regulation changes in 2026 that could play to his strengths.
Lewis Hamilton's recent qualifying struggles, including double Q1 eliminations in Qatar, have been labeled 'odd' by former Mercedes chief strategist James Vowles, despite Hamilton generally demonstrating strong race pace. This slump follows a period of inconsistent performance with Ferrari, prompting renewed discussions about his future in Formula 1.
Why it matters:
Hamilton's form is under intense scrutiny as he navigates a challenging season with Ferrari, marked by flashes of brilliance interspersed with surprising setbacks. His struggles directly impact Ferrari's championship aspirations and fuel speculation about his motivation and longevity in the sport, especially with a major regulation change looming in 2026.
The Details:
- Inconsistent Qualifying Performance: After showing promising one-lap pace from Singapore to Mexico, including a P3 start in Mexico, Hamilton has since suffered Q1 eliminations in Las Vegas and consecutive Q1 exits in Qatar, where he was P18 in both sprint qualifying and grand prix qualifying.
- Car Confidence Issues: Despite Hamilton stating the car 'felt good' in Qatar, data analysis by Karun Chandhok revealed a lack of confidence and grip, particularly through Turns 3, 4, 6, and 15, leading to hesitation on the throttle and compromised minimum speeds.
- Vowles' Assessment: James Vowles, now Williams team boss, expressed surprise at Hamilton's significant lack of pace, stating, 'My opinion is he's been on the pace near enough, so it's odd he's this far back.'
What's next:
Despite his current difficulties, former F1 driver Juan Pablo Montoya believes Hamilton will not retire. Montoya suggests Hamilton is simply 'venting' frustration but still possesses the desire and ability to compete at a high level. Hamilton is contracted with Ferrari through the 2026 season, which will introduce all-new cars and engines with active aerodynamics and a 50/50 split between combustion and electric power. This significant regulatory shift is seen by some as potentially favoring Hamilton's strategic approach and experience, offering a renewed opportunity for him to prove himself and conclude his career on a high note.