21 February 2026ESPNAnalysisRumor
F1 2026 Predicted Order: Mercedes Edges Ferrari After Testing
Analysis of preseason testing data and paddock sentiment suggests Mercedes holds a narrow advantage over a resurgent Ferrari for the 2026 F1 season, with McLaren and Red Bull in close pursuit. The midfield looks fiercely contested, while Aston Martin faces a monumental challenge after a troubled winter.
After two weeks of preseason testing in Bahrain, Mercedes emerges as the slight favorite to lead the pack into Formula 1's new 2026 era, with Ferrari showing formidable single-lap speed and strong race starts. McLaren and Red Bull appear closely matched just behind, while a tight midfield battle is set to unfold between Haas and Alpine, with new entrants Audi and Cadillac showing promising foundations despite Aston Martin's disastrous start.